{"id":2665,"date":"2021-01-07T17:27:24","date_gmt":"2021-01-07T17:27:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/?p=2665"},"modified":"2021-02-05T12:58:28","modified_gmt":"2021-02-05T12:58:28","slug":"perakende-guven-endeksi-covid-19-doneminde-tarihi-dusuk-seviyelerinde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/?p=2665","title":{"rendered":"Perakende G\u00fcven Endeksi, Covid-19 D\u00f6neminde Tarihi D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Seviyelerinde"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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2017 y\u0131l\u0131 ve sonras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde seyreden TEPAV Perakende G\u00fcven Endeksi (TEPE), 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde -16,7 puan de\u011ferini alm\u0131\u015f, Covid-19 salg\u0131n s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flamas\u0131 ve kontrol\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik \u00fclke genelinde al\u0131nan sosyal hareketlili\u011fi k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nlemler neticesinde, bir sonraki \u00e7eyrekte -21,4 puan seviyesine kadar gerilemi\u015fti. 2020 geneline bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Nisan ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen de\u011ferin TEPE\u2019nin en dip seviyesi oldu\u011fu dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Di\u011fer taraftan, Haziran ay\u0131 ile birlikte tedbirlerin kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla TEPE\u2019de de y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na yay\u0131lan tedrici bir toparlanma e\u011filimi g\u00f6zleniyor. TEPE, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyreklerde, s\u0131ras\u0131yla -15,2 ve -10,6 de\u011ferlerini alm\u0131\u015f.<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>

Perakende g\u00fcveni Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda hem ge\u00e7en y\u0131la hem de ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi ancak, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 negatif seviyede tamamlad\u0131. TEPE\u2019nin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -16,0 puan olurken, bu seviye 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n (-16,6) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00fczeyde \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 3 ayda i\u015flerin durumu, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda tedarik\u00e7ilerden sipari\u015f, sat\u0131\u015f ve istihdam beklentileri Aral\u0131k 2019\u2019a g\u00f6re artarken, gelecek d\u00f6neme dair beklentiler Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla olumsuz.
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 aya ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f beklentilerinin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re daha iyi performans sergiledi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Beklentilerin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -12,5 puan olurken, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -9,1 puan olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. \u00c7eyreklik frekansta incelendi\u011finde ise 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 son \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011fer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in 2020 y\u0131l\u0131, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re i\u015f hacmi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha olumsuz bir y\u0131l. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re i\u015flerin durumuna dair alt endeks de\u011ferinin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -42,6 puan olurken, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -43,3 puan. Endeks, \u00e7eyreklik frekansta ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da ilgili soruya verilen yan\u0131tlar\u0131n denge de\u011ferinin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n 15,9 puan alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

\"\"<\/p>

Perakende G\u00fcveni Y\u0131l\u0131, Negatifte Tamamlad\u0131<\/span><\/strong>
TEPE de\u011ferleri aylar itibar\u0131yla incelendi\u011finde, endeks de\u011ferlerinin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 Mart, Nisan, May\u0131s, Haziran ve Eyl\u00fcl aylar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerine g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. TEPE\u2019nin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -16,0 puan iken, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -16,6 puan olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. Di\u011fer bir ifadeyle perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcveninde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla olas\u0131 bir iyile\u015fmenin Covid-19 salg\u0131n s\u00fcreci nedeniyle s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda -7,1 puan de\u011ferini alan TEPE, bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 5,4 puan, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 9,0 puan art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015f. TEPE de\u011ferinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re artmas\u0131nda, hem ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz \u00fc\u00e7 ayda i\u015flerin geli\u015fimi hem de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda sat\u0131\u015f beklentisi g\u00f6stergelerindeki iyile\u015fmeler etkili olmu\u015f. Y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru g\u00f6reli olarak iyile\u015fme g\u00f6r\u00fclse de TEPE, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n tamam\u0131nda negatif de\u011fer alm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>

2020 Y\u0131l\u0131nda Perakendecinin Sat\u0131\u015f Beklentisi 2019 Y\u0131l\u0131na G\u00f6re Artt\u0131<\/span><\/strong>
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 aya ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f beklentileri de\u011ferlerine 2020 ve 2019 y\u0131llar\u0131 itibar\u0131yla bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, beklentinin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 Mart, Nisan ve May\u0131s aylar\u0131nda 2019\u2019un ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerine g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferler ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Di\u011fer taraftan, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 aya ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f beklentilerinin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -12,5 puan iken 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -9,1 puan. \u00c7eyreklik d\u00f6nemlerde incelendi\u011finde ise, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda 2019 de\u011ferinin 8 puan alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in 2020 y\u0131l\u0131, beklentilerin genel olarak 2019 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fi ancak COVID-19 salg\u0131n s\u00fcreci nedeniyle \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kesintiye u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir y\u0131l olarak ge\u00e7ti. Aral\u0131k 2020\u2019de -4,4 puan de\u011ferini alan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 aya ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f beklentileri, bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 2,4 puan azal\u0131rken, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re 3,0 puan artm\u0131\u015f. Aral\u0131k 2020\u2019de TEPE anketi kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 31,7\u2019si \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda i\u015flerinde iyile\u015fme beklerken, y\u00fczde 40,8\u2019i i\u015flerinde k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fme bekledi\u011fini belirtiyor. \u0130\u015flerinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklemeyenlerin oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde, 27,5.<\/span><\/p>

2020 Y\u0131l\u0131nda Perakendecilerin \u0130\u015f Hacimleri, 2019 Y\u0131l\u0131na G\u00f6re Azald\u0131<\/span><\/strong>
\u0130\u015flerin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re durumuna 2020 ve 2019 y\u0131llar\u0131ndan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 de\u011ferleri Mart, Nisan, May\u0131s, Haziran ve Eyl\u00fcl aylar\u0131nda 2019\u2019dan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011fer alm\u0131\u015f. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -42,6 puan iken, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -43,3 puan ve 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n i\u015f hacmi 2019 y\u0131l\u0131ndan daha k\u00f6t\u00fc performans g\u00f6steriyor. \u00c7eyreklik d\u00f6nemler baz\u0131nda ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re i\u015flerin durumu incelendi\u011finde, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 de\u011feri 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 de\u011ferinin 15,9 puan alt\u0131nda. Aral\u0131k 2020\u2019de ise endeks -36,6 puan de\u011ferini alarak, Aral\u0131k 2019\u2019a g\u00f6re 5,3 puan, Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019ye g\u00f6re ise 2,9 puan artm\u0131\u015f. TEPE anketi kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 19,6\u2019s\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re i\u015flerinde art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu belirtirken, i\u015flerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oldu\u011funu belirtenlerin oran\u0131, y\u00fczde 56,1. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re i\u015flerinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtenlerin oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 24,3.<\/span><\/p>

Perakendecilerin Beklentileri Ge\u00e7en Y\u0131la K\u0131yasla Artt\u0131<\/span><\/strong>
TEPE anketine soru baz\u0131nda bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Aral\u0131k 2020\u2019de, \u201cge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 3 ayda i\u015flerin durumu\u201d, \u201c\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda istihdam ve sat\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 beklentileri\u201d ve \u201ci\u015flerin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re durumu\u201d g\u00f6stergeleri hem Aral\u0131k 2019\u2019a g\u00f6re, hem de Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019ye g\u00f6re artm\u0131\u015f. \u201c\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda tedarik\u00e7ilerden sipari\u015f ve sat\u0131\u015f beklentileri\u201d ve \u201cgelecek y\u0131l ma\u011faza say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi\u201d g\u00f6stergeleri, Aral\u0131k 2019\u2019a g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterirken, Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019ye g\u00f6re azalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerdeki iyile\u015fmenin, salg\u0131n\u0131n birinci dalgas\u0131n\u0131n geride kalmas\u0131 ve sonras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan k\u0131smi toparlanma ile ilgili oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Di\u011fer taraftan, gelecek d\u00f6neme dair beklentiler Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla olumsuz. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda vaka say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla tedbirlerin s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla beklentileri bozdu\u011fu \u015feklinde de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/span><\/p><\/div>

\"\"<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2017 y\u0131l\u0131 ve sonras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde seyreden TEPAV Perakende G\u00fcven Endeksi (TEPE), 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde -16,7 puan de\u011ferini alm\u0131\u015f, Covid-19 salg\u0131n s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flamas\u0131 ve kontrol\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik \u00fclke genelinde al\u0131nan sosyal hareketlili\u011fi k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nlemler neticesinde, bir sonraki \u00e7eyrekte -21,4 puan seviyesine kadar gerilemi\u015fti. 2020 geneline bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Nisan ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen de\u011ferin TEPE\u2019nin en dip seviyesi oldu\u011fu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2668,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,32],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-2665","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-haberler","8":"category-sektorden-haberler-haberler"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/perakende-guven-endeksi-132.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"H\u00fcnkar G\u00f6rel","author_link":"https:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/?author=2"},"yoast_head":"\nPerakende G\u00fcven Endeksi, Covid-19 D\u00f6neminde Tarihi D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Seviyelerinde - 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