{"id":1629,"date":"2020-01-13T09:52:48","date_gmt":"2020-01-13T09:52:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/?p=1629"},"modified":"2021-02-05T12:59:55","modified_gmt":"2021-02-05T12:59:55","slug":"tepav-perakende-guveni-2019da-2018in-gerisinde-kaldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/?p=1629","title":{"rendered":"TEPAV: Perakende G\u00fcveni, 2019’da 2018’in Gerisinde Kald\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomi Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Vakf\u0131 (TEPAV) taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenli olarak yay\u0131mlanan \u2018TEPAV Perakende G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin 120. say\u0131s\u0131 yay\u0131mland\u0131. KDV oran\u0131ndaki indirimlere ve bankalar\u0131n t\u00fcketici kredilerindeki canlanma e\u011filimine kar\u015f\u0131n t\u00fcketici, 2019\u2019da perakendecinin y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcld\u00fcrmedi. Perakende g\u00fcveni, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda hem ge\u00e7en y\u0131la hem de ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re azalarak, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 negatif seviyede tamamlad\u0131. <\/strong><\/span><\/h3>

Perakende g\u00fcveni Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda hem ge\u00e7en y\u0131la hem de ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re azalarak, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 negatif seviyede tamamlad\u0131. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 3 ayda i\u015flerin durumu, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda tedarik\u00e7ilerden sipari\u015f, sat\u0131\u015f ve istihdam beklentileri hem Aral\u0131k 2018’e hem de Kas\u0131m 2019’a g\u00f6re azald\u0131. TEPE’nin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -16,4 puan olurken, bu seviye 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131ndan (-17,1) sonra en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olarak kaydedildi. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 birinci \u00e7eyre\u011fi, perakende endeksinin y\u0131l i\u00e7inde en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00f6nem olarak belirlendi.
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 aya ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f beklentileri 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re daha k\u00f6t\u00fc performans sergiledi. Beklentilerin 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -7,6 puan olurken, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -11,9 puan oldu. \u00c7eyreklik frekansta incelendi\u011finde ise, 2019 son \u00e7eyre\u011finin 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 son \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek de\u011fer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.
Perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in 2019 y\u0131l\u0131, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re i\u015f hacminin daha k\u00f6t\u00fc oldu\u011fu bir y\u0131l oldu. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re i\u015flerin durumuna dair alt endeks de\u011ferinin 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -36,0 puan olurken, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -42,6 puan oldu. Endeks \u00e7eyreklik frekansta ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da, ilgili soruya verilen yan\u0131tlar\u0131n denge de\u011ferinin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finin 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

2019 Y\u0131l\u0131nda Perakendecinin Sat\u0131\u015f Beklentisi 2018 Y\u0131l\u0131na G\u00f6re Azald\u0131<\/span><\/strong>
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 aya ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f beklentilerinin mevsimsellikten ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f de\u011ferlerin 2019 ve 2018 y\u0131llar\u0131 itibari ile bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, beklentinin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 May\u0131s, Eyl\u00fcl, Ekim ve Kas\u0131m aylar\u0131nda 2018’in ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerine g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek de\u011ferler ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 aya ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f beklentilerinin 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -7,6 puan iken 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -11,9 puan de\u011ferini ald\u0131. B\u00f6ylelikle perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7in 2019 y\u0131l\u0131, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re beklentilerin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu bir y\u0131l oldu. \u00c7eyreklik d\u00f6nemlerde incelendi\u011finde, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemde 2019 de\u011ferleri 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 de\u011ferlerinin \u00fczerinde yer ald\u0131.<\/span>
Aral\u0131k 2019’da -1,8 puan de\u011ferini alan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 aya ili\u015fkin sat\u0131\u015f beklentileri, bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 3,9 puan, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re 16,6 puan azald\u0131. Aral\u0131k 2019’da TEPE anketi kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 26,6’s\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda i\u015flerinde iyile\u015fme beklerken, y\u00fczde 40,2’si i\u015flerinde k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fme bekledi\u011fini belirtti. \u0130\u015flerinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklemeyenlerin oran\u0131 ise, y\u00fczde 33,2 olarak belirlendi.<\/span><\/p>

2019 Y\u0131l\u0131nda Perakendecilerin \u0130\u015f Hacimleri, 2018 Y\u0131l\u0131na G\u00f6re Azald\u0131<\/span><\/strong>
\u0130\u015flerin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re durumuna 2019 ve 2018 y\u0131llar\u0131 itibari ile bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 de\u011ferleri Eyl\u00fcl, Ekim ve Kas\u0131m aylar\u0131nda 2018’den y\u00fcksek de\u011fer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -36,0 puan iken, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 -42,6 puan oldu ve 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n i\u015f hacmi 2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndan daha k\u00f6t\u00fc performans g\u00f6sterdi. \u00c7eyreklik d\u00f6nemler baz\u0131nda ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re i\u015flerin durumu incelendi\u011finde, son \u00e7eyrekte 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 de\u011ferleri 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 de\u011ferlerinin \u00fczerinde yer ald\u0131.<\/span>
Aral\u0131k 2019’da ise endeks -41,9 puan de\u011ferini alarak, Kas\u0131m 2019’a g\u00f6re 0,4 puan, Aral\u0131k 2018’e g\u00f6re ise 8,4 puan azald\u0131. TEPE anketi kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 16,4’\u00fc ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re i\u015flerinde art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu belirtirken, i\u015flerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oldu\u011funu belirtenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 58,3 olarak belirlendi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re i\u015flerinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtenlerin oran\u0131 ise, y\u00fczde 25,3 oldu.<\/span><\/p>

Perakende G\u00fcveni Yaln\u0131zca “Elektrikli Ev Aletleri, Radyo ve Televizyonlar” Sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde Artt\u0131<\/span><\/strong>
Perakende g\u00fcvenine alt sekt\u00f6rler itibar\u0131yla bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Aral\u0131k 2019’da, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re “elektrikli ev aletleri, radyo ve televizyonlar” sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde art\u0131\u015f, “di\u011fer (akaryak\u0131t istasyonu, eczane, parf\u00fcmeri, nalbur, z\u00fcccaciye, k\u0131rtasiye, vb.)”, “tekstil, haz\u0131r giyim ve ayakkab\u0131”, “birden fazla t\u00fcrde \u00fcr\u00fcn satan bakkal, market ve b\u00fcy\u00fck ma\u011fazalar”, “mobilya, ayd\u0131nlatma ekipman\u0131 ve ev i\u00e7i kullan\u0131m \u00fcr\u00fcnleri”, “yiyecek, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fcr\u00fcnleri” ve “motorlu ta\u015f\u0131tlar” sekt\u00f6rlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6zlendi. “Elektrikli ev aletleri, radyo ve televizyonlar”, “di\u011fer (akaryak\u0131t istasyonu, eczane, parf\u00fcmeri, nalbur, z\u00fcccaciye, k\u0131rtasiye, vb.)” ve “tekstil, haz\u0131r giyim ve ayakkab\u0131” sekt\u00f6rleri ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde de\u011fer ald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

Perakendede Gelecek Beklentileri K\u00f6t\u00fcmser<\/span><\/strong>
TEPE anketine soru baz\u0131nda bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Aral\u0131k 2019’da, hem Aral\u0131k 2018’e g\u00f6re hem de Kas\u0131m 2019’a g\u00f6re “ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 3 ayda i\u015flerin durumu”, “\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda tedarik\u00e7ilerden sipari\u015f, sat\u0131\u015f ve istihdam beklentileri”, “i\u015flerin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re durumu” ve “gelecek y\u0131l ma\u011faza say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi” g\u00f6stergeleri azald\u0131. “\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 ayda sat\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 beklentisi” g\u00f6stergesi Aral\u0131k 2018’e g\u00f6re artarken, Kas\u0131m 2019’a g\u00f6re azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p><\/div>

\"\"<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomi Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Vakf\u0131 (TEPAV) taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenli olarak yay\u0131mlanan \u2018TEPAV Perakende G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin 120. say\u0131s\u0131 yay\u0131mland\u0131. KDV oran\u0131ndaki indirimlere ve bankalar\u0131n t\u00fcketici kredilerindeki canlanma e\u011filimine kar\u015f\u0131n t\u00fcketici, 2019\u2019da perakendecinin y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcld\u00fcrmedi. Perakende g\u00fcveni, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda hem ge\u00e7en y\u0131la hem de ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re azalarak, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 negatif seviyede tamamlad\u0131. Perakende g\u00fcveni Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda hem […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1630,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,32],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1629","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-haberler","8":"category-sektorden-haberler-haberler"},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/perakende-guven-endeksi-aralik2019-2.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"ph16171887571_m2ho1594","author_link":"https:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/?author=1"},"yoast_head":"\nTEPAV: Perakende G\u00fcveni, 2019'da 2018'in Gerisinde Kald\u0131 - GPD<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gidaperakendecileri.org\/?p=1629\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"TEPAV: Perakende G\u00fcveni, 2019'da 2018'in Gerisinde Kald\u0131 - GPD\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomi Politikalar\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Vakf\u0131 (TEPAV) taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenli olarak yay\u0131mlanan \u2018TEPAV Perakende G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin 120. say\u0131s\u0131 yay\u0131mland\u0131. KDV oran\u0131ndaki indirimlere ve bankalar\u0131n t\u00fcketici kredilerindeki canlanma e\u011filimine kar\u015f\u0131n t\u00fcketici, 2019\u2019da perakendecinin y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcld\u00fcrmedi. Perakende g\u00fcveni, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda hem ge\u00e7en y\u0131la hem de ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re azalarak, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 negatif seviyede tamamlad\u0131. 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KDV oran\u0131ndaki indirimlere ve bankalar\u0131n t\u00fcketici kredilerindeki canlanma e\u011filimine kar\u015f\u0131n t\u00fcketici, 2019\u2019da perakendecinin y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcld\u00fcrmedi. Perakende g\u00fcveni, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda hem ge\u00e7en y\u0131la hem de ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re azalarak, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 negatif seviyede tamamlad\u0131. 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